'You may not be interested in war, but war is interested in you' (ad.Leon Trotsky). A deep dive into the Russian invasion of Ukraine and the implications and response from the West
Join us for our 'deep dive' webinar in which former NATO Defence Advisor, Prof Adrian Kendry, will cover the antecedents to the present invasion of Ukraine and the timeline from 2014 including the deposal of pro-Russian Ukrainian President Yanukovich, the Russian invasion of Crimea and the ensuing fragility of the Minsk peace process.
In this in depth review, Prof Kendry will discuss the impact of Russia's actions on Global economic instability including the impact of escalating gas and oil prices and disrupted supply chains; financial and economic dislocation of the Russian Federation and European stock markets turbulence and cover the geography of Russia and tensions on the borders with EU and NATO members in the Baltic States and Poland, Czech Republic, Hungary, Romania and Bulgaria.
He will assess Putin's dream of reconstituting Russia after the 1991 dissolution of the Soviet Union; the changing face of European and global geo-economic and geopolitical energy relations; Russia and China’s complex and strengthening relationship; and the wider geopolitical implications of the Ukraine crisis.
He will also review the potency or impotency of sanctions: Russia’s economic and invasion planning for autarky and the strengthening of the Collective Security Treaty Organisation Agreement or disagreement among European (including the UK) and North American countries regarding the scale and scope of sanctions.
Finally he will look at the broader consequences:the vulnerability of Odessa and the Black Sea region; the complication of NATO Turkey’s relationship with Russia and NATO solidarity; the vulnerability of NATO’s partners Finland and Sweden; the fragility of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania, the stark alternative scenarios and Putin’s irrational dangerous strategic planning and the unfolding of the crisis into March and beyond.